Trip Planning for Northern Madison

as of 5:00 am
May 14″ | 15-34 SW
Apr 30 3″ | 15-43 SW
Apr 29 3″ | 10-25 SW
9400′     5/02 at 2:00
15 ℉
W - 22 mph, Gusts 32
-6999 " New
8880′     05/02 at 01:00
20℉
49″ Depth
Primary Problem: New Snow
Bottom Line: Over the next few days avalanches will primarily involve the recent snow and more snow that falls. Large wet slabs, and wet-loose avalanches deeper than the new snow, are not as likely the next few days. The variable and quickly changing spring weather creates a mix of avalanche concerns to watch for. The snowpack can change drastically from day to day, throughout the day, and across different aspects and elevations. Carefully evaluate the snowpack throughout the day, and have alternate plans in case you find unstable snow. Lower elevations are showing dirt and grass, but snow in the mountains means avalanches are possible. Remain diligent with careful snowpack assessment and route-finding, and carry proper avalanche rescue gear.

Past 5 Days

Mon Apr 15

None
Fri Apr 19

None
Mon Apr 22

None
Fri Apr 26

None
Mon Apr 29

None

Relevant Avalanche Activity

Northern Madison
Beehive Basin
Whumps/Collapses in Beehive
Beehive Basin
Coordinates: 45.3407, -111.3910
Caught: 0 ; Buried: 0

From obs: "When setting out to Beehive Basin today we only imagined wanting to bail if rain line was at the trailhead, but had not expected our seasons long standing PWL to turn us around. With a few inches of snow at the trailhead and temps just at freezing we set out. The new snow yesterday/last night capped a warm snowpack, keeping the snowpack from freezing at all (no crusts or other signs of superficial freezes up to 9,2000ft where we bailed despite the mid-20’s temps recorded overnight). Almost immediately out of the trailhead we got thunderous collapses so big we at first thought it was noise from control work at Big Sky. Further along we got collapses extending hundreds of feet out, valley wide and echoing up the basin. We dug to the bottom out of curiosity and found a saturated and unfrozen snowpack. The bottom 30cm was still all facets, giving the appearance that the remaining 90-110cm of consolidated snowpack was floating on air. We’re assuming the whumps/collapses are traveling along this layer of basal facets. I’m sure once it gets a solid freeze things will be alright again, but will the new snow continue to insulate the snowpack the next few nights despite the forecasted solid freezing temps? Or is this only a phenomenon that happens the 1st night of new snow falling on a warm snowpack? "


More Avalanche Details
Northern Madison
Beehive Basin
Loose Snow avalanches in Beehive and Bear Basins
Beehive Basin
L-AS
Coordinates: 45.3477, -111.3890
Caught: 0 ; Buried: 0

From obs: "We saw several loose avalanches on WSW, ESE & SSE aspects of the ridge between beehive and bear basin.  The one on the ESE slope may have been skier triggered (by another group) and the rest appeared to be natural.  We found a strong crust beneath the foot of new snow throughout our route.  We didn't see any cracks or whumphs, and the new snow wasn't reactive in hand pits.  The snow surface was getting wet as we exited to the beehive trailhead around 3pm."


More Avalanche Details
Southern Madison
Quake Lake
Wet Slab Avalanche Above Quake Lake
Incident details include images
Quake Lake
WS-N-R2-D2-G
Coordinates: 44.8524, -111.3920
Caught: 0 ; Buried: 0

From IG: Wet slide to the ground above Quake Lake. 


More Avalanche Details

Relevant Photos

Displaying 1 - 40
  • A group remotely triggered a wet slab avalanche from the ridge top. There were shooting cracks that connected their location to the avalanche. This is an interesting of persistent weak layer and wet snow avalanche problems. Photo: M Harry 

  • A group remotely triggered a wet slab avalanche from the ridge top. There were shooting cracks that connected their location to the avalanche. This is an interesting of persistent weak layer and wet snow avalanche problems. Photo: M Harry 

  • Observed on 04/05/2024: "Photo of recent loose wet avalanches that likely happened 24-48 hours ago on SW-W aspect at ~9800'" Photo: Z. Peterson

  • Observed on 04/05/2024: "Photo of recent loose wet avalanches that likely happened 24-48 hours ago on SW-W aspect at ~9800'" Photo: Z. Peterson

  • On a small test slope near Muddy Creek we intentionally triggered several small avalanches in wind-loaded terrain by knocking chunks of cornice off. Photo: GNFAC

  • While riding we saw cracking forming near our sleds in fresh drifts: Photo: GNFAC

  • Strong wind transporting snow at ridge tops. Photo: GNFAC

  • We saw this recent avalanche near the Bear Creek wilderness boundary while riding on 03/24/2024. Photo: GNFAC

  • We saw this natural avalanche on a wind-loaded slope behind McAtee Basin. Photo: GNFAC

  • A rider triggered this avalanche in Taylor Fork on 3/16/24. "Avalanche broke about 400ft wide and slid for 250 ft. 4-2ft deep at the crown."

  • Skiers saw a natural avalanche on east-facing terrain at 9500' in Beehive Basin. Photo: Anonymous 

  • Skiers triggered this slope by dropping a section of cornice onto the slope. This avalanche broke 500' wide, and ranged in depth from 18" or 6'. Photo: P. Hess

  • Skiers triggered this slope by dropping a section of cornice onto the slope. This avalanche broke 500' wide, and ranged in depth from 18" or 6'. Photo: P. Hess

  • Skiers triggered this slope by dropping a section of cornice onto the slope. This avalanche broke 500' wide, and ranged in depth from 18" or 6'. Photo: P. Hess

  • Skiers triggered this slope by dropping a section of cornice onto the slope. This avalanche broke 500' wide, and ranged in depth from 18" or 6'. Photo: P. Hess

     

  • From obs: "On a tour up Middle Peak, I saw recent avalanches, with large propagation in Middle Basin and Beehive Basin." Photo Anonymous 

  • From obs: "On a tour up Middle Peak, I saw recent avalanches, with large propagation in Middle Basin and Beehive Basin." Photo Anonymous 

  • From IG: "Buck ridge south of slatts hill, remote trigger by a snowmobile today"

  • Skiers in Beehive Basin saw a natural avalanche on an east-facing slope. This avalanche likely happened in the last 24-48 hours. Photo: E. Heiman

  • Skiers intentionally triggered a small avalanche near the prayer flags in Bear Basin. This slope has avalanched previously this season. Photo: J Alford

  • Riders triggered this pair of avalanches while crossing below this terrain, roughly 150 yards away. The location of the triggers is marked by the "x's" in the photo. Photo: M. Rolfson 

  • Riders triggered this pair of avalanches while crossing below this terrain, roughly 150 yards away. Photo: M. Rolfson 

  • Rider on 02/23/2024 observed this large avalanche next to another avalanche they had triggered remotely. They likely triggered this one as well from afar while cross terrain below. Photo: M. Rolfson

  • Riders on 02/23/2024 triggered this avalanche from 150 yards away while traversing below. Photo: M. Rolfson

  • Riders on 02/23/2024 triggered this avalanche from 150 yards away while traversing below. Photo: M. Rolfson

     

  • On 2/18/24 near Buck Ridge and Muddy Creek we saw at least eight recent avalanches that occurred at various times over the last 1-3 days, natural and/or remote triggered by riders. A group in the parking lot mentioned seeing many slides actively happen in this area on Friday 2/16. Most were 2-3' deep hard slabs, ranging from 50'-500' wide. Photo: GNFAC

  • On 2/18/24 near Buck Ridge and Muddy Creek we saw at least eight recent avalanches that occurred at various times over the last 1-3 days, natural and/or remote triggered by riders. A group in the parking lot mentioned seeing many slides actively happen in this area on Friday 2/16. Most were 2-3' deep hard slabs, ranging from 50'-500' wide. Photo: GNFAC

  • On 2/18/24 near Buck Ridge and Muddy Creek we saw at least eight recent avalanches that occurred at various times over the last 1-3 days, natural and/or remote triggered by riders. A group in the parking lot mentioned seeing many slides actively happen in this area on Friday 2/16. Most were 2-3' deep hard slabs, ranging from 50'-500' wide. Photo: GNFAC

  • On 2/18/24 near Buck Ridge and Muddy Creek we saw at least eight recent avalanches that occurred at various times over the last 1-3 days, natural and/or remote triggered by riders. A group in the parking lot mentioned seeing many slides actively happen in this area on Friday 2/16. Most were 2-3' deep hard slabs, ranging from 50'-500' wide. Photo: GNFAC

  • On 2/18/24 near Buck Ridge and Muddy Creek we saw at least eight recent avalanches that occurred at various times over the last 1-3 days, natural and/or remote triggered by riders. A group in the parking lot mentioned seeing many slides actively happen in this area on Friday 2/16. Most were 2-3' deep hard slabs, ranging from 50'-500' wide. Photo: GNFAC

  • On 2/18/24 near Buck Ridge and Muddy Creek we saw at least eight recent avalanches that occurred at various times over the last 1-3 days, natural and/or remote triggered by riders. A group in the parking lot mentioned seeing many slides actively happen in this area on Friday 2/16. Most were 2-3' deep hard slabs, ranging from 50'-500' wide. Photo: GNFAC

  • An avalanche we either triggered from 750-800 feet away or it broke naturally. This avalanche happened when we were riding near the larger of the two avalanches from yesterday, on the south side of Cedar Mtn. It was a wind-loaded slope, actively loading. The avalanche was ~130' wide with 100' of 4-12" deep new snow/wind slab and 30' wide broke almost 3 feet deep on weak snow near the ground. Photo: GNFAC

  • An avalanche we either triggered from 750-800 feet away or it broke naturally. This avalanche happened when we were riding near the larger of the two avalanches from yesterday, on the south side of Cedar Mtn. It was a wind-loaded slope, actively loading. The avalanche was ~130' wide with 100' of 4-12" deep new snow/wind slab and 30' wide broke almost 3 feet deep on weak snow near the ground. Photo: GNFAC

  • An avalanche we either triggered from 750-800 feet away or it broke naturally. This avalanche happened when we were riding near the larger of the two avalanches from yesterday, on the south side of Cedar Mtn. It was a wind-loaded slope, actively loading. The avalanche was ~130' wide with 100' of 4-12" deep new snow/wind slab and 30' wide broke almost 3 feet deep on weak snow near the ground. Photo: GNFAC

  • An avalanche we either triggered from 750-800 feet away or it broke naturally. This avalanche happened when we were riding near the larger of the two avalanches from yesterday, on the south side of Cedar Mtn. It was a wind-loaded slope, actively loading. The avalanche was ~130' wide with 100' of 4-12" deep new snow/wind slab and 30' wide broke almost 3 feet deep on weak snow near the ground. Photo: GNFAC

  • An avalanche we either triggered from 750-800 feet away or it broke naturally. This avalanche happened when we were riding near the larger of the two avalanches from yesterday, on the south side of Cedar Mtn. It was a wind-loaded slope, actively loading. The avalanche was ~130' wide with 100' of 4-12" deep new snow/wind slab and 30' wide broke almost 3 feet deep on weak snow near the ground. Photo: GNFAC

  • This avalanche was triggered by riders from flat terrain far below on February 17. Photo: GNFAC

  • From BSSP on 2/17/24: "Midafternoon we received another report of a skier triggered avalanche in the Lone Lake Circe, specifically The Mullet. The reporting party contacted several ski patrollers via cell phone and confirmed that nobody was injured or had taken the full ride. This avalanche failed near the ground on a high elevation NW facing slope with the weight of a single skier with an estimated size of HS-ASu-R3-D2.5-O."

  • From BSSP on 2/17/24: "Midafternoon we received another report of a skier triggered avalanche in the Lone Lake Circe, specifically The Mullet. The reporting party contacted several ski patrollers via cell phone and confirmed that nobody was injured or had taken the full ride. This avalanche failed near the ground on a high elevation NW facing slope with the weight of a single skier with an estimated size of HS-ASu-R3-D2.5-O."

  • Riders triggered this avalanche remotely on 02/17/2024 while riding near the Bear Creek wilderness boundary. Photo: Anonymous 

Videos- Northern Madison

WebCams


8800' Camera, Lone Peak view

Yellowstone Club, Timberline Chair

Snowpit Profiles- Northern Madison

 

Select a snowpit on the map to view the profile image

Weather Forecast Northern Madison

Extended Forecast for

5 Miles NNW Big Sky MT

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12. Wind chill values as low as zero. West southwest wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 12 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A 40 percent chance of snow, mainly after 3pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 28. Wind chill values as low as -5. West southwest wind 13 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.  New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

    High: 28 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    Snow

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 40 percent chance of snow before midnight.  Patchy fog after 3am.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 15. North northwest wind 6 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.

    Low: 15 °F

    Chance Snow
    then Patchy
    Fog

  • Friday

    Friday: A 30 percent chance of snow, mainly after noon.  Partly sunny, with a high near 34. West northwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.  New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

    High: 34 °F

    Chance Snow

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 21. West wind 9 to 11 mph becoming south southeast in the evening.

    Low: 21 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 45. South wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

    High: 45 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A slight chance of snow showers before 9pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Southeast wind 13 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Low: 32 °F

    Chance
    Rain/Snow

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Snow showers likely, mainly after noon. Some thunder is also possible.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. South southeast wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

    High: 42 °F

    Snow Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Snow showers likely. The snow could be heavy at times.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27.

    Low: 27 °F

    Heavy Snow

The Last Word

We began our daily forecasts on December 7. 130 daily forecasts and 464 reported avalanches later, we wrapped up our daily forecasting season on April 14th. While avalanches remain a concern until the snow is in the rivers, read our SEASON SUMMARY to look back at the heart of the 2023-24 avalanche year.

04 / 26 / 24  <<  
 
this forecast
 
  >>  This is the most recent forecast.